Friday, March 6, 2020

XFAlpha Podcast - Week 4 Review

Either Jonah and I are in a huge fight or we couldn't get our schedules to line up. You decide. But I'm going solo this week with a review of week four and previewing everything you need to know about week five. My notes and download information are below.

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Defenders vs. VIPERS
Jacques Patrick was a guy I had mentioned as somebody to watch out for, and I’m hoping his performance this week gives him a more significant workload over De’Veon Smith, even though both backs had over 100 yards. 
A lot of fun misdirection in the run game that took advantage of an overzealous defensive line. Imagine how dangerous that would be with a mobile quarterback like the recently retired, Quinton Flowers.
Nothing has changed with Cornelius. He’s still not great, not terrible, but not exciting enough to make the Vipers a contender.

Cardale Jones has not lost a home game in a decade. Let’s not forget that.
I think the Vipers defense is playing better, but the offensive line for the Defenders is a serious liability.
On the defensive side, Rahim Moore and Matt Elam are both showing enough to get another look in the NFL, and I have also been impressed with Tracy Sprinkle who has been able to cause some havoc on the defensive line.


Roughnecks vs. RENEGADES
PJ Walker is not messing around, continues to show that he really is the best quarterback in this league.
Cam Phillips was shut down, but Nick Holley had the chance to shine. I would still be buying on Phillips and doubting any Holley buzz at this point.

Parham is a stud, that ain’t changing. 
Landry Jones is messing around as he just loves to complete passes, no matter what jersey they happen to be wearing. 
Unfortunately, it now appears they are down to Philip Nelson, and the Renegades need to find a new quarterback, either trading for Quinton Flowers, Tyree Jackson, or Johnny Manziel. God, even reuniting Hal Mumme with Tim Couch has got to be better than this.


Wildcats vs. GUARDIANS
Traveling across the country is tough, especially without your best offensive weapon in Nelson Spruce. They didn’t play great, but I think if Spruce is healthy, they probably win this game.
Tre McBride stepped up big time again this week, but their running situation is pretty uninspiring right now.

I do think the Guardians are bad, but they played well enough to get this win over a flat Wildcats team. They are 2-2, tied for the fourth seed, and I have absolutely zero faith that they will make the playoffs.

Dragons vs. BATTLEHAWKS
Quarterbacks are so damn important so it was good to see BJ Daniels get a chance with the Dragons as it seemed to give that team some fire.
The Dragons defense had ten tackles for loss in this game.

I still love my boy De’mornay Pierson-El. 
I’ve been a Jordan Ta’amu skeptic where Jonah has been a hater, but it’s time to just let him be. He’s not the best quarterback in the league, but he’s in the top half of starting quarterbacks, and that makes the Battlehawks title contenders.
I also don’t think this game was as close as the score made it seem as the Battlehawks ran 73 offensive plays and the Dragons ran 42. 



WEEK 5 PICKS
ROUGHNECKS over Dragons - Dragons cover 13.5
RENEGADES over Guardians - Renegades cover -8
DEFENDERS over Battlehawks - Upset special as Battlehawks are favored by 3.5
WILDCATS over Vipers - Wildcats cover 1.5


DFS Picks
QB 
  1. PJ Walker - HOU
  2. BJ Daniels - SEA
  3. Eric Dungey - DAL

RB 
  1. Cameron Artis-Payne - DAL
  2. Donnel Pumphrey - DC
  3. Martez Carter - LA+

WR
  1. Tre McBride - LA
    1. Donald Parham - DAL
  2. Mekale McKay - NY
    1. Flynn Nagel - DAL
  3. Nick Truesdell - TAM
    1. Keith Mumphrey - STL

DEF

  1. Dallas
  2. LA
  3. DC

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